Investing In Volatile, Toppy Market Requires Extreme Care
“The markets have moved sideward for essentially the last 12 months and this year, when the crash really happened, we were 2% lower on the S&P year-to-date…we were down 13% for the transportation index, so the internal of the market has been weak,” Mr. Faber said in a TV interview Thursday.
“An economy like China is not like a car where you just drive around the corner,” he said. “The Chinese economy cannot be stimulated meaningfully for the time being—it will take time.”
And any negative news out of China will eventually hurt US companies, he explained.
“You look at announcements of Hewlett-Packard, United Technologies, car manufacturers… they have a large exposure to China, and when the Chinese economy slows down, what really drove the growth, namely capital spending in China, and consumption in China slows down, so in July, car sales in China were down 7% Y-Y,” he said.
Meanwhile, US stocks were up more than 1% Wednesday, supported by US data and technology stocks led a rebound from Tuesday’s steep losses.
But be cautious this storm not passed.
Thursday’s close: DJIA +23.38 at 16374.76, NAS 100 -16.48 at 4733.50, S&P 500 +2.27 at 1951.13
- NAS 100-0.1% YTD
- S&P 500 -5.2% YTD
- Russell 2000 -4.9% YTD
- DJIA-8.1% YTD
Participants should expect more volatility to come in this market. The market needs to work through this correction, and that could take weeks, months, maybe years.
I believe we are entering a Bear market, stocks are not making news highs and the breadth is weak, most market participants are not prepared for Mr. Bear.
Of course I would rather be Bullish. It is fun to be a Bull in a Bull market. In a Bear market you have to be very careful.